The power of place-based Future Visioning: Centring climate justice in urban adaptation

Future Visioning (FV) is emerging as a critical area for climate adaptation science, policy, and practice. Yet, experiences tend to be led by government institutions or powerful stakeholders, leaving out relevant voices for climate justice. This article highlights the importance of incorporating diverse perspectives in shaping future visions for risk-informed planning and adaptation in cities. The paper examines data from normative FV engagements conducted in four contexts in Tanzania, Palestine, Nepal, and Bangladesh. The analysis reveals various logics used to express place-based injustices and the extent to which these inform visions for resilient future urban environments. By adopting a comparative approach, the research analyses results both within cities - focusing on narratives and scenarios emerging from different social groups - and across cities, exploring emerging global narratives on desired urban development in a context of rapid urbanisation, multi hazard risks and climate change. Our findings highlight the complex nature of visions, which intersect universalistic values with situated experiences and lived injustices. Further research on this topic should explore how intersectional future thinking can drive specific planning trade-offs, as well as its tangible influence on urban planning paradigm shifts and processes amidst rapid urban change. ; No Full Text