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Probable Confusion: Why Our Brains, Our choices, and Our Models Can Mislead Us About Probability in MSE and Stock Assessment.

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  • Additional Information
    • Publication Date:
      2026
    • Collection:
      University of Cape Town: Figshare
    • Abstract:
      Presentation to the Global Tuna RFMO MSE workshop in Rome, 20–22 January 2026, titled: "Probable Confusion: Why Our Brains, Our choices, and Our Models Can Mislead Us About Probability in MSE and Stock Assessment."
    • Relation:
      https://figshare.com/articles/presentation/Probable_Confusion_Why_Our_Brains_Our_choices_and_Our_Models_Can_Mislead_Us_About_Probability_in_MSE_and_Stock_Assessment_/31369420
    • Accession Number:
      10.25375/uct.31369420.v1
    • Online Access:
      https://doi.org/10.25375/uct.31369420.v1
      https://figshare.com/articles/presentation/Probable_Confusion_Why_Our_Brains_Our_choices_and_Our_Models_Can_Mislead_Us_About_Probability_in_MSE_and_Stock_Assessment_/31369420
    • Rights:
      CC BY 4.0
    • Accession Number:
      edsbas.B4FFB6CE